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VT vs XLY: Correlation & Overlap

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.82, a very strong link. The two funds also share 5.5% of their portfolios by weight.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.82
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.79
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.85
long-run
Holdings overlap
5.5%
47 common holdings

How correlated are VT and XLY?

On 3 years of weekly data the VT/XLY correlation comes out at 0.82, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.79 over 1 year against 0.82 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.85, and annualized covariance runs at 224.1 %².

Among the 136 assets we track against VT, XLY ranks #40 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months VT outperformed by 22.8 percentage points (+22.7% for VT against -0.1% for XLY). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.79 and 0.87 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VT vs XLY: side by side

VT (Vanguard Total World Stock ETF)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+22.7%-0.1%
5-year return+67.7%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)13.9%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.921.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-16.5%-26.0%
Dividend yield1.59%0.78%
Expense ratio0.06%0.08%
Assets under management$97.9B$22.5B
Sector / categoryETF · GlobalSector ETF
Lower fee: VT 0.06% vs 0.08%Higher yield: VT 1.59% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: VT -16.5% vs -26.0%Higher 5y return: VT +67.7% vs +31.8%

On the fund side, VT sits in the Global Large-Stock Blend category at Vanguard, with $97.9B under management, 5308 holdings, a 0.06% expense ratio, a 1.59% trailing dividend yield. XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+23%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VT · XLY

Portfolio overlap between VT and XLY

The two portfolios are largely distinct, with 47 holdings in common adding up to 5.5% of fund weight. Where correlation shows the co-movement, the overlap shows its source.

Common holdingWeight in VTWeight in XLY
AMZN2.36%24.32%
TSLA0.81%16.18%
HD0.30%5.54%
MCD0.17%4.11%
TJX0.16%3.55%
BKNG0.13%4.04%
SBUX0.11%3.08%
LOW0.10%2.94%
MAR0.07%1.96%
RCL0.07%1.80%
GM0.07%1.94%
ROST0.07%1.90%
ORLY0.07%1.85%
DASH0.07%2.24%
HLT0.06%1.89%

Largest positions held only by VT: NVDA (4.20%), AAPL (4.00%), MSFT (3.09%), GOOGL (1.89%), AVGO (1.62%). Only by XLY: .

Overlap = sum of the smaller of the two weights across common holdings, from issuer disclosures as of 2026-07-31. Top 15 common positions shown.

Year-by-year returns

YearVTXLY
2022-18.0%-36.3%
2023+22.0%+39.6%
2024+16.5%+26.5%
2025+22.4%+7.4%
2026+15.2%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VT and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Not really. At 0.82, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VT and XLY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.82 over 3 years, with 0.79 over the last year and 0.85 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for VT?

Not really. At 0.82, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

How much do VT and XLY overlap?

5.5% by weight, across 47 common holdings, based on issuer-disclosed portfolios as of 2026-07-31.

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VT vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.82VT vs XLY0.82

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