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TOL vs VXZ: Correlation

How closely do Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.47, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.47
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.46
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.49
long-run
Ann. covariance
-418.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TOL and VXZ?

Over the past 3 years, TOL and VXZ moved with a correlation of -0.47, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of -0.46 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.49, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -418.7 %².

VXZ is close to the least connected end of TOL's tracked universe, ranking #35 of 35. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months TOL outperformed by 22.1 percentage points (+6.0% for TOL against -16.1% for VXZ).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TOL vs VXZ: side by side

TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)VXZ (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return+6.0%-16.1%
5-year return+139.9%-53.1%
Volatility (ann.)34.9%25.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.14-1.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-46.0%-36.4%
Market cap$13.4B
P/E (trailing)11.9
Dividend yield0.69%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: VXZ -36.4% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: TOL +139.9% vs -53.1%
-16%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. TOL · VXZ

Year-by-year returns

YearTOLVXZ
2022-30.0%+0.5%
2023+108.6%-44.0%
2024+23.4%-12.7%
2025+8.3%+5.7%
2026+7.9%-10.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TOL and VXZ good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.47 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TOL and VXZ?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between TOL and VXZ is -0.47 over 3 years, -0.46 over 1 year and -0.49 over 5 years.

Is VXZ a good diversifier for TOL?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.47 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.47 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.47 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/tol-vs-vxz.json

TOL vs VXZ: 3-year weekly correlation -0.47TOL vs VXZ-0.47

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![TOL vs VXZ correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/tol-vs-vxz.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/tol-vs-vxz/)

The core API is free. Terms and every endpoint in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: TOL correlations · VXZ correlations