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PHM vs TOL: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, PulteGroup (PHM) and Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) carry a correlation of 0.91, a very strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.91
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.91
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.89
long-run
Ann. covariance
1024.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PHM and TOL?

On 3 years of weekly data the PHM/TOL correlation comes out at 0.91, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.91 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.89, and annualized covariance runs at 1024.6 %².

Among the 47 assets we track against PHM, TOL ranks #4 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months TOL came out ahead by 8.5 percentage points (-2.5% against +6.0%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PHM vs TOL: side by side

PHM (PulteGroup)TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
1-year return-2.5%+6.0%
5-year return+145.5%+139.9%
Volatility (ann.)32.2%34.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.821.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.0%-46.0%
Market cap$13.4B
P/E (trailing)13.311.9
Dividend yield0.77%0.69%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryUS Listed
Lower P/E: TOL 11.9 vs 13.3Higher yield: PHM 0.77% vs 0.69%Smaller drawdown: PHM -38.0% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: PHM +145.5% vs +139.9%
-21%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. PHM · TOL

Year-by-year returns

YearPHMTOL
2022-19.2%-30.0%
2023+128.8%+108.6%
2024+6.2%+23.4%
2025+8.5%+8.3%
2026+8.6%+7.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PHM and TOL good diversifiers for each other?

No. With a correlation of 0.91, PHM and TOL move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PHM and TOL?

The PHM/TOL correlation stands at 0.91 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.91, 5 years: 0.89), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TOL a good diversifier for PHM?

No. With a correlation of 0.91, PHM and TOL move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

What does a correlation of 0.91 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/phm-vs-tol.json

PHM vs TOL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.91PHM vs TOL0.91

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Related comparisons

Hubs: PHM correlations · TOL correlations