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TOL vs VXX: Correlation

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.40.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.40
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.31
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.45
long-run
Ann. covariance
-860.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TOL and VXX?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of TOL and VXX correlate at -0.40, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.31) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.45, with an annualized covariance of -860.2 %².

VXX is close to the least connected end of TOL's tracked universe, ranking #34 of 35. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with TOL ahead by 55.7 points (+6.0% versus -49.7%). One caveat on sizing: VXX is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TOL vs VXX: side by side

TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return+6.0%-49.7%
5-year return+139.9%-95.6%
Volatility (ann.)34.9%60.9%
Beta vs S&P 5001.14-3.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-46.0%-83.3%
Market cap$13.4B
P/E (trailing)11.9
Dividend yield0.69%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Higher yield: TOL 0.69% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: TOL -46.0% vs -83.3%Higher 5y return: TOL +139.9% vs -95.6%
-49%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. TOL · VXX

Year-by-year returns

YearTOLVXX
2022-30.0%-23.8%
2023+108.6%-72.5%
2024+23.4%-26.2%
2025+8.3%-42.2%
2026+7.9%-31.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TOL and VXX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.40, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TOL and VXX?

The TOL/VXX correlation stands at -0.40 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.31, 5 years: -0.45), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VXX a good diversifier for TOL?

Yes: at -0.40, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.40 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/tol-vs-vxx.json

TOL vs VXX: 3-year weekly correlation -0.40TOL vs VXX-0.40

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Hubs: TOL correlations · VXX correlations