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STZ vs XLP: Correlation

Constellation Brands (STZ) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.51.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.51
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.53
long-run
Ann. covariance
152.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are STZ and XLP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of STZ and XLP correlate at 0.51, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.43 over 1 year against 0.51 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.53, with an annualized covariance of 152.0 %².

Few assets follow STZ as closely as XLP, which ranks #2 of 31 tracked partners. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLP ahead by 24.0 points (-15.7% versus +8.3%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.41 and 0.70 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: STZ runs 2.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

STZ vs XLP: side by side

STZ (Constellation Brands)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-15.7%+8.3%
5-year return-31.9%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)26.6%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.410.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-51.3%-9.7%
Market cap$22.4B
P/E (trailing)12.8
Dividend yield3.04%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: STZ 3.04% vs 2.58%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -51.3%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs -31.9%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-13%0%+14%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. STZ · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearSTZXLP
2022-6.4%-0.8%
2023+5.8%-0.8%
2024-7.1%+12.2%
2025-36.0%+1.5%
2026-2.7%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

STZ represents 1.18% of XLP's portfolio, so part of any move in XLP is STZ itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are STZ and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.51 means STZ and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between STZ and XLP?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.51 over 3 years, with 0.43 over the last year and 0.53 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for STZ?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.51 means STZ and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.51 mean?

A reading of 0.51 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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STZ vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.51STZ vs XLP0.51

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Hubs: STZ correlations · XLP correlations