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PKG vs VTV: Correlation

How closely do Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) and Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.57
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.58
long-run
Ann. covariance
159.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PKG and VTV?

On 3 years of weekly data the PKG/VTV correlation comes out at 0.57, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.57 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.58, and annualized covariance runs at 159.8 %².

Within PKG's tracked universe of 32 assets, VTV comes in at #7 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance VTV holds a 7.2-point edge, +18.5% against +25.7%. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.38 and 0.69 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: PKG runs 2.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PKG vs VTV: side by side

PKG (Packaging Corporation of America)VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
1-year return+18.5%+25.7%
5-year return+86.8%+79.1%
Volatility (ann.)23.5%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.520.65
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.4%-14.5%
Market cap$21.7B
P/E (trailing)31.6
Dividend yield2.13%1.86%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$256.4B
Sector / categoryMaterialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: PKG 2.13% vs 1.86%Smaller drawdown: VTV -14.5% vs -28.4%Higher 5y return: PKG +86.8% vs +79.1%

On the fund side, VTV sits in the Large Value category at Vanguard, with $256.4B under management, 308 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.86% trailing dividend yield.

-11%0%+27%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). PKG · VTV

Year-by-year returns

YearPKGVTV
2022-2.6%-2.1%
2023+31.9%+9.3%
2024+41.7%+16.0%
2025-6.1%+15.3%
2026+19.6%+19.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

PKG represents 0.08% of VTV's portfolio, so part of any move in VTV is PKG itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are PKG and VTV good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.57 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PKG and VTV?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between PKG and VTV is 0.57 over 3 years, 0.57 over 1 year and 0.58 over 5 years.

Is VTV a good diversifier for PKG?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.57 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.57 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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PKG vs VTV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57PKG vs VTV0.57

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Hubs: PKG correlations · VTV correlations