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PKG vs SW: Correlation

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) and Smurfit Westrock (SW) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.65.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.65
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.76
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
617.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PKG and SW?

On 3 years of weekly data the PKG/SW correlation comes out at 0.65, strong. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.76 versus 0.65 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.54, and annualized covariance runs at 617.5 %².

In PKG's tracked universe of 32 assets, SW sits right near the top at #2. The trailing year gives PKG the advantage: +18.5% versus +9.7%, a 8.8-point spread. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.41 and 0.77 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: SW runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PKG vs SW: side by side

PKG (Packaging Corporation of America)SW (Smurfit Westrock)
1-year return+18.5%+9.7%
5-year return+86.8%+2.6%
Volatility (ann.)23.5%40.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.520.92
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.4%-40.5%
Market cap$21.7B$25.5B
P/E (trailing)31.651.7
Dividend yield2.13%3.57%
Sector / categoryMaterialsMaterials
Lower P/E: PKG 31.6 vs 51.7Higher yield: SW 3.57% vs 2.13%Smaller drawdown: PKG -28.4% vs -40.5%Higher 5y return: PKG +86.8% vs +2.6%
-28%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). PKG · SW

Year-by-year returns

YearPKGSW
2022-2.6%-28.0%
2023+31.9%+14.1%
2024+41.7%+37.6%
2025-6.1%-26.2%
2026+19.6%+29.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PKG and SW good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.65 means PKG and SW share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PKG and SW?

The PKG/SW correlation stands at 0.65 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.76, 5 years: 0.54), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SW a good diversifier for PKG?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.65 means PKG and SW share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.65 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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PKG vs SW: 3-year weekly correlation 0.65PKG vs SW0.65

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Hubs: PKG correlations · SW correlations