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MDY vs PKG: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.54
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
224.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MDY and PKG?

Over the past 3 years, MDY and PKG moved with a correlation of 0.58, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.54 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.59, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 224.4 %².

Within MDY's tracked universe of 359 assets, PKG comes in at #210 by 3-year correlation. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +18.3% against +18.5%. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.41 to 0.71.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MDY vs PKG: side by side

MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)PKG (Packaging Corporation of America)
1-year return+18.3%+18.5%
5-year return+47.5%+86.8%
Volatility (ann.)16.5%23.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.910.52
Max drawdown (3Y)-24.0%-28.4%
Market cap$21.7B
P/E (trailing)31.6
Dividend yield1.02%2.13%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Small & Mid CapMaterials
Higher yield: PKG 2.13% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -28.4%Higher 5y return: PKG +86.8% vs +47.5%

MDY is a Mid-Cap Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-11%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MDY · PKG

Year-by-year returns

YearMDYPKG
2022-13.3%-2.6%
2023+16.1%+31.9%
2024+13.6%+41.7%
2025+7.2%-6.1%
2026+16.4%+19.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MDY and PKG good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means MDY and PKG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MDY and PKG?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MDY and PKG is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.54 over 1 year and 0.59 over 5 years.

Is PKG a good diversifier for MDY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means MDY and PKG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.58 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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MDY vs PKG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58MDY vs PKG0.58

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Hubs: MDY correlations · PKG correlations