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PKG vs XLB: Correlation

How closely do Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.63, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.63
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.64
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.64
long-run
Ann. covariance
248.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PKG and XLB?

Over the past 3 years, PKG and XLB moved with a correlation of 0.63, which is strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.64) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.64, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 248.6 %².

In PKG's tracked universe of 32 assets, XLB sits right near the top at #3. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +18.5% against +17.6%. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.46 to 0.79.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PKG vs XLB: side by side

PKG (Packaging Corporation of America)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+18.5%+17.6%
5-year return+86.8%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)23.5%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.520.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.4%-23.2%
Market cap$21.7B
P/E (trailing)31.6
Dividend yield2.13%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryMaterialsSector ETF
Higher yield: PKG 2.13% vs 1.68%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -28.4%Higher 5y return: PKG +86.8% vs +36.9%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-11%0%+19%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). PKG · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearPKGXLB
2022-2.6%-12.3%
2023+31.9%+12.5%
2024+41.7%+0.1%
2025-6.1%+9.9%
2026+19.6%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

PKG represents 2.85% of XLB's portfolio, so part of any move in XLB is PKG itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are PKG and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.63 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PKG and XLB?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between PKG and XLB is 0.63 over 3 years, 0.64 over 1 year and 0.64 over 5 years.

Is XLB a good diversifier for PKG?

To a limited degree. At 0.63 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.63 mean?

A reading of 0.63 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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PKG vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.63PKG vs XLB0.63

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Related comparisons

Hubs: PKG correlations · XLB correlations