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NSC vs USMV: Correlation

Norfolk Southern (NSC) and iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (USMV) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.56.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.56
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.27
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.57
long-run
Ann. covariance
122.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NSC and USMV?

Over the past 3 years, NSC and USMV moved with a correlation of 0.56, which is moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.27 versus 0.56 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.57, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 122.7 %².

Within NSC's tracked universe of 32 assets, USMV comes in at #14 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months NSC outperformed by 19.9 percentage points (+30.0% for NSC against +10.1% for USMV). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.29 to 0.77. Note the risk asymmetry: NSC runs 2.2 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NSC vs USMV: side by side

NSC (Norfolk Southern)USMV (iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF)
1-year return+30.0%+10.1%
5-year return+49.6%+42.3%
Volatility (ann.)22.0%9.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.690.51
Max drawdown (3Y)-25.1%-9.4%
Market cap$78.1B
P/E (trailing)30.1
Dividend yield1.53%1.48%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$23.6B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: NSC 1.53% vs 1.48%Smaller drawdown: USMV -9.4% vs -25.1%Higher 5y return: NSC +49.6% vs +42.3%

USMV, iShares's Large Blend fund, carries $23.6B under management, 164 holdings, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 1.48% trailing dividend yield.

-2%0%+28%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NSC · USMV

Year-by-year returns

YearNSCUSMV
2022-15.6%-9.4%
2023-1.6%+10.3%
2024+1.6%+15.7%
2025+25.6%+7.6%
2026+22.0%+9.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NSC and USMV good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.56 means NSC and USMV share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NSC and USMV?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.56 over 3 years, with 0.27 over the last year and 0.57 over 5 years.

Is USMV a good diversifier for NSC?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.56 means NSC and USMV share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.56 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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NSC vs USMV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.56NSC vs USMV0.56

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Hubs: NSC correlations · USMV correlations