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ULTA vs VXX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Ulta Beauty (ULTA) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) carry a correlation of -0.29, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.29
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.22
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.31
long-run
Ann. covariance
-612.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ULTA and VXX?

On 3 years of weekly data the ULTA/VXX correlation comes out at -0.29, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.22) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is -0.31, and annualized covariance runs at -612.9 %².

Among the 31 assets we track against ULTA, VXX sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #31. The last year tells two different stories: ULTA led by 50.9 percentage points, +1.2% for ULTA against -49.7% for VXX. Risk is not evenly split, since VXX carries 1.7 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ULTA vs VXX: side by side

ULTA (Ulta Beauty)VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return+1.2%-49.7%
5-year return+41.0%-95.6%
Volatility (ann.)35.3%60.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.75-3.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-44.6%-83.3%
Market cap$23.2B
P/E (trailing)20.4
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: ULTA -44.6% vs -83.3%Higher 5y return: ULTA +41.0% vs -95.6%
-49%0%+34%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ULTA · VXX

Year-by-year returns

YearULTAVXX
2022+13.8%-23.8%
2023+4.5%-72.5%
2024-11.2%-26.2%
2025+39.1%-42.2%
2026-10.7%-31.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ULTA and VXX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.29, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ULTA and VXX?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ULTA and VXX is -0.29 over 3 years, -0.22 over 1 year and -0.31 over 5 years.

Is VXX a good diversifier for ULTA?

Yes: at -0.29, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.29 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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ULTA vs VXX: 3-year weekly correlation -0.29ULTA vs VXX-0.29

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Hubs: ULTA correlations · VXX correlations