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TR vs XLP: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) carry a correlation of 0.38, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.44
long-run
Ann. covariance
106.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TR and XLP?

On 3 years of weekly data the TR/XLP correlation comes out at 0.38, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.48) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.44, and annualized covariance runs at 106.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLP places #5 of the 13 assets tracked against TR. Their 12-month results are close: +4.1% for TR against +8.3% for XLP. One caveat on sizing: TR is 2.3 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TR vs XLP: side by side

TR (Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc.)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+4.1%+8.3%
5-year return+57.7%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)25.1%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.050.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.0%-9.7%
Market cap$3.1B
P/E (trailing)32.2
Dividend yield0.84%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 0.84%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -20.0%Higher 5y return: TR +57.7% vs +34.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-13%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. TR · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearTRXLP
2022+22.3%-0.8%
2023-18.8%-0.8%
2024+1.4%+12.2%
2025+17.9%+1.5%
2026+15.5%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TR and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.38, TR and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TR and XLP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between TR and XLP is 0.38 over 3 years, 0.48 over 1 year and 0.44 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for TR?

Reasonably. At 0.38, TR and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.38 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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TR vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38TR vs XLP0.38

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Hubs: TR correlations · XLP correlations