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SPY vs VMC: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) carry a correlation of 0.47, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.47
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.29
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
170.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and VMC?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SPY and VMC correlate at 0.47, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.29) than the 3-year average (0.47). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.54, with an annualized covariance of 170.5 %².

By 3-year correlation, VMC places #607 of the 4755 assets tracked against SPY. The last year tells two different stories: SPY led by 25.8 percentage points, +20.6% for SPY against -5.2% for VMC. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.26 and 0.65 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: VMC is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs VMC: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)VMC (Vulcan Materials Company)
1-year return+20.6%-5.2%
5-year return+82.4%+53.2%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%25.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.82
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-24.4%
Market cap$35.5B
P/E (trailing)32.3
Dividend yield1.01%0.74%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapMaterials
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.74%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -24.4%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +53.2%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-12%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · VMC

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYVMC
2022-18.2%-14.9%
2023+26.2%+30.8%
2024+24.9%+14.1%
2025+17.7%+11.7%
2026+13.7%-3.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

VMC represents 0.05% of SPY's portfolio, so part of any move in SPY is VMC itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are SPY and VMC good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.47, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and VMC?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.47 over 3 years, with 0.29 over the last year and 0.54 over 5 years.

Is VMC a good diversifier for SPY?

A fair diversifier. At 0.47, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.47 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.47 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SPY vs VMC: 3-year weekly correlation 0.47SPY vs VMC0.47

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Hubs: SPY correlations · VMC correlations