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SPY vs VBF: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco Bond Fund (VBF) carry a correlation of 0.30, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.30
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.55
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.29
long-run
Ann. covariance
39.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and VBF?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SPY and VBF correlate at 0.30, moderate. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.55 versus 0.30 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.29, with an annualized covariance of 39.8 %².

Within SPY's tracked universe of 4755 assets, VBF comes in at #2253 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: SPY led by 19.9 percentage points, +20.6% for SPY against +0.7% for VBF. Note the risk asymmetry: SPY runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs VBF: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)VBF (Invesco Bond Fund)
1-year return+20.6%+0.7%
5-year return+82.4%-4.4%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%9.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.19
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-11.5%
Market cap$0.2B
P/E (trailing)14.4
Dividend yield1.01%5.72%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: VBF 5.72% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: VBF -11.5% vs -18.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -4.4%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-2%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). SPY · VBF

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYVBF
2022-18.2%-17.8%
2023+26.2%+2.3%
2024+24.9%+7.0%
2025+17.7%+5.5%
2026+13.7%-1.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and VBF good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.30, SPY and VBF keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and VBF?

The SPY/VBF correlation stands at 0.30 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.55, 5 years: 0.29), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VBF a good diversifier for SPY?

Reasonably. At 0.30, SPY and VBF keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.30 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.30 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SPY vs VBF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.30SPY vs VBF0.30

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · VBF correlations