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SPY vs USAR: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) carry a correlation of -0.02, a near-zero link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.02
near-zero
Correlation (1Y)
0.32
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
-28.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and USAR?

On 3 years of weekly data the SPY/USAR correlation comes out at -0.02, near zero, meaning they move largely independently. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.32) runs above the 3-year figure (-0.02). The 5-year figure is n/a, and annualized covariance runs at -28.3 %².

Among the 4755 assets we track against SPY, USAR ranks #4645 by 3-year correlation. Twelve-month performance is nearly a tie, at +20.6% for SPY and +22.7% for USAR. One caveat on sizing: USAR is 6.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs USAR: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.)
1-year return+20.6%+22.7%
5-year return+82.4%n/a
Volatility (ann.)14.5%98.3%
Beta vs S&P 5001.00-0.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-69.2%
Market cap$4.7B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.01%0.00%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -69.2%

SPY, State Street Investment Management's Large Blend fund, carries $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-12%0%+135%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). SPY · USAR

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYUSAR
2022-18.2%
2023+26.2%
2024+24.9%+11.1%
2025+17.7%+3.7%
2026+13.7%+61.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and USAR good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.02 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and USAR?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.02 over 3 years, with 0.32 over the last year and n/a over 5 years.

Is USAR a good diversifier for SPY?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.02 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.02 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.02 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SPY vs USAR: 3-year weekly correlation -0.02SPY vs USAR-0.02

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · USAR correlations