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SPY vs UNP: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.39, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.39
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
-0.03
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.49
long-run
Ann. covariance
116.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and UNP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SPY and UNP correlate at 0.39, moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.03 versus 0.39 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.49, with an annualized covariance of 116.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, UNP places #1289 of the 4755 assets tracked against SPY. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with UNP ahead by 21.8 points (+20.6% versus +42.4%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.00 and 0.69 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs UNP: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)UNP (Union Pacific Corporation)
1-year return+20.6%+42.4%
5-year return+82.4%+56.5%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%20.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.56
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-17.8%
Market cap$182.8B
P/E (trailing)25.1
Dividend yield1.01%1.78%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapIndustrials
Higher yield: UNP 1.78% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: UNP -17.8% vs -18.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +56.5%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-2%0%+42%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · UNP

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYUNP
2022-18.2%-15.9%
2023+26.2%+21.6%
2024+24.9%-5.1%
2025+17.7%+3.9%
2026+13.7%+34.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that SPY holds UNP at a 0.28% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are SPY and UNP good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.39 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and UNP?

The SPY/UNP correlation stands at 0.39 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.03, 5 years: 0.49), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is UNP a good diversifier for SPY?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.39 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.39 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.39 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SPY vs UNP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.39SPY vs UNP0.39

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · UNP correlations