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SPY vs UMAC: Correlation

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.20.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.20
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.39
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
716.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and UMAC?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SPY and UMAC correlate at 0.20, weak. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.39) than the 3-year average (0.20). Stretching to 5 years gives n/a, with an annualized covariance of 716.2 %².

Within SPY's tracked universe of 4755 assets, UMAC comes in at #3294 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months UMAC outperformed by 136.5 percentage points (+20.6% for SPY against +157.1% for UMAC). One caveat on sizing: UMAC is 17.2 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs UMAC: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)UMAC (Unusual Machines, Inc.)
1-year return+20.6%+157.1%
5-year return+82.4%n/a
Volatility (ann.)14.5%248.9%
Beta vs S&P 5001.003.43
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-75.6%
Market cap$1.3B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.01%0.00%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -75.6%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-18%0%+256%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. SPY · UMAC

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYUMAC
2022-18.2%
2023+26.2%
2024+24.9%
2025+17.7%-24.3%
2026+13.7%+106.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and UMAC good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.20, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and UMAC?

The SPY/UMAC correlation stands at 0.20 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.39, 5 years: n/a), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is UMAC a good diversifier for SPY?

A fair diversifier. At 0.20, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.20 mean?

A reading of 0.20 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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SPY vs UMAC: 3-year weekly correlation 0.20SPY vs UMAC0.20

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Hubs: SPY correlations · UMAC correlations