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SPY vs TOVX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Theriva Biologics, Inc. (TOVX) carry a correlation of 0.15, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.15
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.11
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.20
long-run
Ann. covariance
240.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TOVX?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SPY and TOVX correlate at 0.15, weak. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.11 over 1 year against 0.15 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.20, with an annualized covariance of 240.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, TOVX places #3743 of the 4755 assets tracked against SPY. The last year tells two different stories: SPY led by 60.5 percentage points, +20.6% for SPY against -39.9% for TOVX. Note the risk asymmetry: TOVX runs 7.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TOVX: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TOVX (Theriva Biologics, Inc.)
1-year return+20.6%-39.9%
5-year return+82.4%-99.8%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%108.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.001.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-98.8%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)0.2
Dividend yield1.01%0.00%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -98.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -99.8%

SPY, State Street Investment Management's Large Blend fund, carries $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-55%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · TOVX

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTOVX
2022-18.2%-83.3%
2023+26.2%-4.4%
2024+24.9%-83.7%
2025+17.7%-88.0%
2026+13.7%+20.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and TOVX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.15, SPY and TOVX have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TOVX?

The SPY/TOVX correlation stands at 0.15 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.11, 5 years: 0.20), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TOVX a good diversifier for SPY?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.15, SPY and TOVX have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of 0.15 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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SPY vs TOVX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.15SPY vs TOVX0.15

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · TOVX correlations