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SPY vs TMUS: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and T-Mobile US (TMUS) carry a correlation of 0.21, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.21
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.02
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.35
long-run
Ann. covariance
75.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TMUS?

Over the past 3 years, SPY and TMUS moved with a correlation of 0.21, which is weak. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.02 versus 0.21 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.35, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 75.7 %².

Among the 4755 assets we track against SPY, TMUS ranks #3187 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: SPY led by 48.6 percentage points, +20.6% for SPY against -28.0% for TMUS. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.01 and 0.50 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. One caveat on sizing: TMUS is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TMUS: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TMUS (T-Mobile US)
1-year return+20.6%-28.0%
5-year return+82.4%+34.8%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%24.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.36
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-37.1%
Market cap$190.7B
P/E (trailing)18.8
Dividend yield1.01%2.27%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapCommunication Services
Higher yield: TMUS 2.27% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -37.1%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +34.8%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-31%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · TMUS

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTMUS
2022-18.2%+20.7%
2023+26.2%+15.0%
2024+24.9%+39.7%
2025+17.7%-6.6%
2026+13.7%-11.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that SPY holds TMUS at a 0.13% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are SPY and TMUS good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.21, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TMUS?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.21 over 3 years, with -0.02 over the last year and 0.35 over 5 years.

Is TMUS a good diversifier for SPY?

A fair diversifier. At 0.21, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.21 mean?

A reading of 0.21 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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SPY vs TMUS: 3-year weekly correlation 0.21SPY vs TMUS0.21

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Hubs: SPY correlations · TMUS correlations