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SPY vs TMDX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) carry a correlation of 0.28, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.28
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.33
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.32
long-run
Ann. covariance
285.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TMDX?

On 3 years of weekly data the SPY/TMDX correlation comes out at 0.28, weak. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.33 over 1 year against 0.28 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.32, and annualized covariance runs at 285.6 %².

Within SPY's tracked universe of 4755 assets, TMDX comes in at #2485 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 42.4 points (+20.6% versus -21.8%). Note the risk asymmetry: TMDX runs 4.8 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TMDX: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TMDX (TransMedics Group, Inc.)
1-year return+20.6%-21.8%
5-year return+82.4%+196.3%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%69.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.001.37
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-67.8%
Market cap$3.2B
P/E (trailing)23.9
Dividend yield1.01%0.00%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -67.8%Higher 5y return: TMDX +196.3% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-39%0%+41%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · TMDX

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTMDX
2022-18.2%+222.1%
2023+26.2%+27.9%
2024+24.9%-21.0%
2025+17.7%+95.1%
2026+13.7%-24.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and TMDX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.28 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TMDX?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.28 over 3 years, with 0.33 over the last year and 0.32 over 5 years.

Is TMDX a good diversifier for SPY?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.28 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.28 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.28 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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SPY vs TMDX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.28SPY vs TMDX0.28

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · TMDX correlations