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SPY vs TLYS: Correlation

How closely do SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.10, which is weak.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.10
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.07
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.18
long-run
Ann. covariance
141.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TLYS?

On 3 years of weekly data the SPY/TLYS correlation comes out at 0.10, weak. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.07 versus 0.10 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.18, and annualized covariance runs at 141.0 %².

Within SPY's tracked universe of 4755 assets, TLYS comes in at #4115 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: TLYS led by 84.7 percentage points, +20.6% for SPY against +105.3% for TLYS. One caveat on sizing: TLYS is 6.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TLYS: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TLYS (Tilly's, Inc.)
1-year return+20.6%+105.3%
5-year return+82.4%-74.2%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%96.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.68
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-92.3%
Market cap$0.1B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.01%0.00%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -92.3%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -74.2%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-34%0%+187%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. SPY · TLYS

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTLYS
2022-18.2%-43.8%
2023+26.2%-16.7%
2024+24.9%-43.6%
2025+17.7%-53.2%
2026+13.7%+93.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and TLYS good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of 0.10 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TLYS?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between SPY and TLYS is 0.10 over 3 years, -0.07 over 1 year and 0.18 over 5 years.

Is TLYS a good diversifier for SPY?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of 0.10 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of 0.10 mean?

A reading of 0.10 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/spy-vs-tlys.json

SPY vs TLYS: 3-year weekly correlation 0.10SPY vs TLYS0.10

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Hubs: SPY correlations · TLYS correlations