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SPY vs TKR: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Timken Company (The) (TKR) carry a correlation of 0.52, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.52
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.31
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.55
long-run
Ann. covariance
205.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TKR?

Over the past 3 years, SPY and TKR moved with a correlation of 0.52, which is moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.31) than the 3-year average (0.52). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.55, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 205.6 %².

By 3-year correlation, TKR places #400 of the 4755 assets tracked against SPY. The last year tells two different stories: TKR led by 39.2 percentage points, +20.6% for SPY against +59.8% for TKR. Note the risk asymmetry: TKR runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TKR: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TKR (Timken Company (The))
1-year return+20.6%+59.8%
5-year return+82.4%+80.3%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%27.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.98
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-37.6%
Market cap$8.6B
P/E (trailing)33.7
Dividend yield1.01%1.12%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: TKR 1.12% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -37.6%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +80.3%

SPY, State Street Investment Management's Large Blend fund, carries $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+85%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · TKR

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTKR
2022-18.2%+3.9%
2023+26.2%+15.4%
2024+24.9%-9.5%
2025+17.7%+20.0%
2026+13.7%+49.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and TKR good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means SPY and TKR share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TKR?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between SPY and TKR is 0.52 over 3 years, 0.31 over 1 year and 0.55 over 5 years.

Is TKR a good diversifier for SPY?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means SPY and TKR share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.52 mean?

A reading of 0.52 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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SPY vs TKR: 3-year weekly correlation 0.52SPY vs TKR0.52

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · TKR correlations