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SPY vs TFSL: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) carry a correlation of 0.31, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.31
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.01
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.41
long-run
Ann. covariance
102.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TFSL?

On 3 years of weekly data the SPY/TFSL correlation comes out at 0.31, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.01) runs below the 3-year figure (0.31). The 5-year figure is 0.41, and annualized covariance runs at 102.0 %².

Within SPY's tracked universe of 4755 assets, TFSL comes in at #2122 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months TFSL outperformed by 15.6 percentage points (+20.6% for SPY against +36.2% for TFSL). Note the risk asymmetry: TFSL runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TFSL: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TFSL (TFS Financial Corporation)
1-year return+20.6%+36.2%
5-year return+82.4%+35.4%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%23.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.49
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-21.3%
Market cap$5.0B
P/E (trailing)49.7
Dividend yield1.01%6.31%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: TFSL 6.31% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -21.3%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +35.4%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-3%0%+46%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. SPY · TFSL

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTFSL
2022-18.2%-13.0%
2023+26.2%+11.2%
2024+24.9%-6.7%
2025+17.7%+16.0%
2026+13.7%+39.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and TFSL good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.31 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TFSL?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between SPY and TFSL is 0.31 over 3 years, 0.01 over 1 year and 0.41 over 5 years.

Is TFSL a good diversifier for SPY?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.31 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.31 mean?

A reading of 0.31 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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SPY vs TFSL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.31SPY vs TFSL0.31

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Hubs: SPY correlations · TFSL correlations