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SPY vs TCBI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI) carry a correlation of 0.42, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.42
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.27
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.42
long-run
Ann. covariance
169.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and TCBI?

On 3 years of weekly data the SPY/TCBI correlation comes out at 0.42, moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.27 versus 0.42 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.42, and annualized covariance runs at 169.2 %².

Within SPY's tracked universe of 4755 assets, TCBI comes in at #990 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance SPY holds a 7.8-point edge, +20.6% against +12.8%. One caveat on sizing: TCBI is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs TCBI: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)TCBI (Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.)
1-year return+20.6%+12.8%
5-year return+82.4%+47.7%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%28.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.000.81
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-31.7%
Market cap$4.3B
P/E (trailing)12.8
Dividend yield1.01%0.20%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapUS Listed
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.20%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -31.7%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +47.7%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+22%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. SPY · TCBI

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYTCBI
2022-18.2%+0.1%
2023+26.2%+7.2%
2024+24.9%+21.0%
2025+17.7%+15.8%
2026+13.7%+8.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and TCBI good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.42, SPY and TCBI keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and TCBI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.42 over 3 years, with 0.27 over the last year and 0.42 over 5 years.

Is TCBI a good diversifier for SPY?

Reasonably. At 0.42, SPY and TCBI keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.42 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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SPY vs TCBI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.42SPY vs TCBI0.42

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · TCBI correlations