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SPY vs STLD: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Steel Dynamics (STLD) carry a correlation of 0.47, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.47
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.31
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.52
long-run
Ann. covariance
236.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SPY and STLD?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of SPY and STLD correlate at 0.47, moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.31 versus 0.47 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.52, with an annualized covariance of 236.8 %².

By 3-year correlation, STLD places #603 of the 4755 assets tracked against SPY. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with STLD ahead by 59.2 points (+20.6% versus +79.8%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.27 and 0.70 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: STLD is 2.4 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SPY vs STLD: side by side

SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)STLD (Steel Dynamics)
1-year return+20.6%+79.8%
5-year return+82.4%+262.0%
Volatility (ann.)14.5%34.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.001.13
Max drawdown (3Y)-18.8%-28.7%
Market cap$33.8B
P/E (trailing)21.4
Dividend yield1.01%0.87%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryETF · US Large CapMaterials
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.87%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -28.7%Higher 5y return: STLD +262.0% vs +82.4%

On the fund side, SPY sits in the Large Blend category at State Street Investment Management, with $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-3%0%+112%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. SPY · STLD

Year-by-year returns

YearSPYSTLD
2022-18.2%+60.1%
2023+26.2%+22.8%
2024+24.9%-2.0%
2025+17.7%+50.7%
2026+13.7%+39.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SPY and STLD good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.47, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SPY and STLD?

The SPY/STLD correlation stands at 0.47 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.31, 5 years: 0.52), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is STLD a good diversifier for SPY?

A fair diversifier. At 0.47, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.47 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.47 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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SPY vs STLD: 3-year weekly correlation 0.47SPY vs STLD0.47

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SPY correlations · STLD correlations