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SMG vs TOL: Correlation

How closely do Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) and Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.52, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.52
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.47
long-run
Ann. covariance
701.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SMG and TOL?

Over the past 3 years, SMG and TOL moved with a correlation of 0.52, which is moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.61 over 1 year against 0.52 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.47, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 701.2 %².

Among the 12 assets we track against SMG, TOL ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +1.8% against +6.0%.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SMG vs TOL: side by side

SMG (Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The))TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
1-year return+1.8%+6.0%
5-year return-53.4%+139.9%
Volatility (ann.)38.9%34.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.761.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-47.4%-46.0%
Market cap$3.5B$13.4B
P/E (trailing)23.411.9
Dividend yield4.30%0.69%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: TOL 11.9 vs 23.4Higher yield: SMG 4.30% vs 0.69%Smaller drawdown: TOL -46.0% vs -47.4%Higher 5y return: TOL +139.9% vs -53.4%
-15%0%+16%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. SMG · TOL

Year-by-year returns

YearSMGTOL
2022-68.8%-30.0%
2023+36.9%+108.6%
2024+8.3%+23.4%
2025-8.0%+8.3%
2026+7.2%+7.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SMG and TOL good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means SMG and TOL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SMG and TOL?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between SMG and TOL is 0.52 over 3 years, 0.61 over 1 year and 0.47 over 5 years.

Is TOL a good diversifier for SMG?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.52 means SMG and TOL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.52 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/smg-vs-tol.json

SMG vs TOL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.52SMG vs TOL0.52

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SMG correlations · TOL correlations