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ROST vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Ross Stores (ROST) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.44, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.44
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.33
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
210.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ROST and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of ROST and XLY correlate at 0.44, moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.33 versus 0.44 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.54, with an annualized covariance of 210.1 %².

Among the 32 assets we track against ROST, XLY ranks #9 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: ROST led by 54.4 percentage points, +54.3% for ROST against -0.1% for XLY. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.30 to 0.56.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ROST vs XLY: side by side

ROST (Ross Stores)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+54.3%-0.1%
5-year return+105.0%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)24.0%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.661.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-21.1%-26.0%
Market cap$73.7B
P/E (trailing)27.8
Dividend yield0.72%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.72%Smaller drawdown: ROST -21.1% vs -26.0%Higher 5y return: ROST +105.0% vs +31.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+71%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ROST · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearROSTXLY
2022+2.9%-36.3%
2023+20.6%+39.6%
2024+10.4%+26.5%
2025+20.4%+7.4%
2026+28.1%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLY holds ROST at a 1.9% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are ROST and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.44 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ROST and XLY?

The ROST/XLY correlation stands at 0.44 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.33, 5 years: 0.54), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for ROST?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.44 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.44 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.44 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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ROST vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.44ROST vs XLY0.44

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Hubs: ROST correlations · XLY correlations