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PFSI vs SPY: Correlation

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.24.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.24
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.22
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.43
long-run
Ann. covariance
119.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PFSI and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of PFSI and SPY correlate at 0.24, weak. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.22) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.43, with an annualized covariance of 119.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #9 of the 14 assets tracked against PFSI. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 51.9 points (-31.3% versus +20.6%). One caveat on sizing: PFSI is 2.4 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PFSI vs SPY: side by side

PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-31.3%+20.6%
5-year return+17.5%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)34.9%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.571.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-53.8%-18.8%
Market cap$3.8B
P/E (trailing)10.0
Dividend yield1.65%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: PFSI 1.65% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -53.8%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +17.5%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-36%0%+36%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. PFSI · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearPFSISPY
2022-17.6%-18.2%
2023+57.8%+26.2%
2024+16.8%+24.9%
2025+30.5%+17.7%
2026-43.6%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PFSI and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.24 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PFSI and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between PFSI and SPY is 0.24 over 3 years, 0.22 over 1 year and 0.43 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for PFSI?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.24 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.24 mean?

A reading of 0.24 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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PFSI vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.24PFSI vs SPY0.24

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Hubs: PFSI correlations · SPY correlations