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NVR vs USO: Correlation

How closely do NVR, Inc. (NVR) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.36, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.36
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.17
long-run
Ann. covariance
-330.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NVR and USO?

Over the past 3 years, NVR and USO moved with a correlation of -0.36, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.48) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.36). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.17, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -330.7 %².

Among the 38 assets we track against NVR, USO sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #38. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USO outperformed by 94.9 percentage points (-20.8% for NVR against +74.1% for USO). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.51 and 0.06 on a rolling one-year basis. Note the risk asymmetry: USO runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NVR vs USO: side by side

NVR (NVR, Inc.)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-20.8%+74.1%
5-year return+24.2%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)23.4%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.53-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-43.9%-32.5%
Market cap$17.0B
P/E (trailing)16.6
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -43.9%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +24.2%
-35%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NVR · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearNVRUSO
2022-21.9%+29.0%
2023+51.8%-4.9%
2024+16.8%+13.4%
2025-10.8%-8.5%
2026-12.7%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NVR and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.36, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NVR and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.36 over 3 years, with -0.48 over the last year and -0.17 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for NVR?

Yes: at -0.36, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.36 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/nvr-vs-uso.json

NVR vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.36NVR vs USO-0.36

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Related comparisons

Hubs: NVR correlations · USO correlations