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NVR vs TOL: Correlation

NVR, Inc. (NVR) and Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.76.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.76
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.73
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.80
long-run
Ann. covariance
621.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NVR and TOL?

On 3 years of weekly data the NVR/TOL correlation comes out at 0.76, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.73 over 1 year against 0.76 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.80, and annualized covariance runs at 621.8 %².

Within NVR's tracked universe of 38 assets, TOL comes in at #5 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: TOL led by 26.8 percentage points, -20.8% for NVR against +6.0% for TOL.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NVR vs TOL: side by side

NVR (NVR, Inc.)TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
1-year return-20.8%+6.0%
5-year return+24.2%+139.9%
Volatility (ann.)23.4%34.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.531.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-43.9%-46.0%
Market cap$17.0B$13.4B
P/E (trailing)16.611.9
Dividend yield0.00%0.69%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryUS Listed
Lower P/E: TOL 11.9 vs 16.6Higher yield: TOL 0.69% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: NVR -43.9% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: TOL +139.9% vs +24.2%
-35%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. NVR · TOL

Year-by-year returns

YearNVRTOL
2022-21.9%-30.0%
2023+51.8%+108.6%
2024+16.8%+23.4%
2025-10.8%+8.3%
2026-12.7%+7.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NVR and TOL good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.76 means NVR and TOL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NVR and TOL?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.76 over 3 years, with 0.73 over the last year and 0.80 over 5 years.

Is TOL a good diversifier for NVR?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.76 means NVR and TOL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.76 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.76 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/nvr-vs-tol.json

NVR vs TOL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.76NVR vs TOL0.76

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Related comparisons

Hubs: NVR correlations · TOL correlations