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NVDA vs XLK: Correlation

Nvidia (NVDA) and Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.79.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.79
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.72
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.80
long-run
Ann. covariance
843.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NVDA and XLK?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of NVDA and XLK correlate at 0.79, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.72) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.80, with an annualized covariance of 843.0 %².

Few assets follow NVDA as closely as XLK, which ranks #3 of 37 tracked partners. The last year tells two different stories: XLK led by 17.7 percentage points, +25.7% for NVDA against +43.4% for XLK. The link looks structural: the rolling one-year correlation barely moved, holding between 0.65 and 0.88. Risk is not evenly split, since NVDA carries 1.9 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NVDA vs XLK: side by side

NVDA (Nvidia)XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+25.7%+43.4%
5-year return+908.3%+145.2%
Volatility (ann.)44.5%24.0%
Beta vs S&P 5002.181.50
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.9%-25.7%
Market cap$5,505.0B
P/E (trailing)32.2
Dividend yield0.00%0.45%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$115.4B
Sector / categoryInformation TechnologySector ETF
Higher yield: XLK 0.45% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLK -25.7% vs -36.9%Higher 5y return: NVDA +908.3% vs +145.2%

On the fund side, XLK sits in the Technology category at State Street Investment Management, with $115.4B under management, 73 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.45% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+46%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). NVDA · XLK

Year-by-year returns

YearNVDAXLK
2022-50.3%-27.7%
2023+239.0%+56.0%
2024+171.2%+21.6%
2025+38.9%+24.6%
2026+22.4%+31.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLK holds NVDA at a 13.91% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are NVDA and XLK good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.79 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NVDA and XLK?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.79 over 3 years, with 0.72 over the last year and 0.80 over 5 years.

Is XLK a good diversifier for NVDA?

To a limited degree. At 0.79 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.79 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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NVDA vs XLK: 3-year weekly correlation 0.79NVDA vs XLK0.79

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Related comparisons

Hubs: NVDA correlations · XLK correlations