NVDA vs VUG: Correlation
Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Nvidia (NVDA) and Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) carry a correlation of 0.77, a strong link.
Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology
How correlated are NVDA and VUG?
On 3 years of weekly data the NVDA/VUG correlation comes out at 0.77, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.69 over 1 year against 0.77 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.77, and annualized covariance runs at 664.5 %².
Among the 37 assets we track against NVDA, VUG ranks #4 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months NVDA came out ahead by 9.5 percentage points (+25.7% against +16.2%). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.62 and 0.85 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship. Note the risk asymmetry: NVDA runs 2.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.
How is this computed?
Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.
NVDA vs VUG: side by side
| NVDA (Nvidia) | VUG (Vanguard Growth ETF) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +25.7% | +16.2% |
| 5-year return | +908.3% | +78.4% |
| Volatility (ann.) | 44.5% | 19.4% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | 2.18 | 1.28 |
| Max drawdown (3Y) | -36.9% | -22.8% |
| Market cap | $5,505.0B | – |
| P/E (trailing) | 32.2 | – |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.40% |
| Expense ratio | – | 0.03% |
| Assets under management | – | $372.0B |
| Sector / category | Information Technology | ETF · US Style |
VUG, Vanguard's Large Growth fund, carries $372.0B under management, 146 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 0.40% trailing dividend yield.
Year-by-year returns
| Year | NVDA | VUG |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -50.3% | -33.2% |
| 2023 | +239.0% | +46.8% |
| 2024 | +171.2% | +32.7% |
| 2025 | +38.9% | +19.4% |
| 2026 | +22.4% | +9.6% |
Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.
Fund exposure
A structural note: 12.84% of VUG is NVDA itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.
Are NVDA and VUG good diversifiers for each other?
To a limited degree. At 0.77 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.
FAQ
What is the correlation between NVDA and VUG?
Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.77 over 3 years, with 0.69 over the last year and 0.77 over 5 years.
Is VUG a good diversifier for NVDA?
To a limited degree. At 0.77 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.
What does a correlation of 0.77 mean?
On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.77 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.
Use this data
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/nvda-vs-vug.json
Markdown for the live badge, attribution link included:
[](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/nvda-vs-vug/)
The core API is free. Terms and every endpoint in the API documentation.
Related comparisons
Hubs: NVDA correlations · VUG correlations
