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NVDA vs SMH: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Nvidia (NVDA) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) carry a correlation of 0.80, a very strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.80
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.83
long-run
Ann. covariance
1204.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are NVDA and SMH?

On 3 years of weekly data the NVDA/SMH correlation comes out at 0.80, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.63 versus 0.80 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.83, and annualized covariance runs at 1204.5 %².

In NVDA's tracked universe of 37 assets, SMH sits right near the top at #1. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months SMH outperformed by 67.4 percentage points (+25.7% for NVDA against +93.1% for SMH). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.58 and 0.89, a moderate band.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

NVDA vs SMH: side by side

NVDA (Nvidia)SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF)
1-year return+25.7%+93.1%
5-year return+908.3%+332.8%
Volatility (ann.)44.5%33.7%
Beta vs S&P 5002.181.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.9%-35.7%
Market cap$5,505.0B
P/E (trailing)32.2
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryInformation TechnologyETF · Thematic
Smaller drawdown: SMH -35.7% vs -36.9%Higher 5y return: NVDA +908.3% vs +332.8%
0%+126%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. NVDA · SMH

Year-by-year returns

YearNVDASMH
2022-50.3%-33.5%
2023+239.0%+73.4%
2024+171.2%+39.1%
2025+38.9%+49.2%
2026+22.4%+59.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are NVDA and SMH good diversifiers for each other?

No: a correlation of 0.80 means NVDA and SMH tend to fall together, which is precisely when diversification is supposed to help.

FAQ

What is the correlation between NVDA and SMH?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.80 over 3 years, with 0.63 over the last year and 0.83 over 5 years.

Is SMH a good diversifier for NVDA?

No: a correlation of 0.80 means NVDA and SMH tend to fall together, which is precisely when diversification is supposed to help.

What does a correlation of 0.80 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.80 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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NVDA vs SMH: 3-year weekly correlation 0.80NVDA vs SMH0.80

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Related comparisons

Hubs: NVDA correlations · SMH correlations