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MSFT vs VUG: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Microsoft (MSFT) and Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) carry a correlation of 0.69, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.69
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.76
long-run
Ann. covariance
365.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MSFT and VUG?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MSFT and VUG correlate at 0.69, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.63 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.76, with an annualized covariance of 365.8 %².

In MSFT's tracked universe of 39 assets, VUG sits right near the top at #3. The last year tells two different stories: VUG led by 15.7 percentage points, +0.5% for MSFT against +16.2% for VUG. Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.63 through 0.86.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MSFT vs VUG: side by side

MSFT (Microsoft)VUG (Vanguard Growth ETF)
1-year return+0.5%+16.2%
5-year return+73.3%+78.4%
Volatility (ann.)27.5%19.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.121.28
Max drawdown (3Y)-34.5%-22.8%
Market cap$3,750.3B
P/E (trailing)28.1
Dividend yield0.73%0.40%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$372.0B
Sector / categoryInformation TechnologyETF · US Style
Higher yield: MSFT 0.73% vs 0.40%Smaller drawdown: VUG -22.8% vs -34.5%Higher 5y return: VUG +78.4% vs +73.3%

VUG, Vanguard's Large Growth fund, carries $372.0B under management, 146 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 0.40% trailing dividend yield.

-28%0%+17%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. MSFT · VUG

Year-by-year returns

YearMSFTVUG
2022-28.0%-33.2%
2023+58.2%+46.8%
2024+12.9%+32.7%
2025+15.6%+19.4%
2026+5.1%+9.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that VUG holds MSFT at a 9.61% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are MSFT and VUG good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.69 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MSFT and VUG?

The MSFT/VUG correlation stands at 0.69 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.63, 5 years: 0.76), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VUG a good diversifier for MSFT?

To a limited degree. At 0.69 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.69 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.69 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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MSFT vs VUG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.69MSFT vs VUG0.69

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Hubs: MSFT correlations · VUG correlations