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MRNA vs XBI: Correlation

How closely do Moderna (MRNA) and SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.42, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.42
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.36
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.42
long-run
Ann. covariance
1162.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MRNA and XBI?

On 3 years of weekly data the MRNA/XBI correlation comes out at 0.42, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.36 over 1 year against 0.42 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.42, and annualized covariance runs at 1162.2 %².

Among the 38 assets we track against MRNA, XBI ranks #10 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with MRNA ahead by 381.6 points (+468.8% versus +87.2%). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.34 to 0.65. Risk is not evenly split, since MRNA carries 3.6 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MRNA vs XBI: side by side

MRNA (Moderna)XBI (SPDR S&P Biotech ETF)
1-year return+468.8%+87.2%
5-year return-61.5%+28.6%
Volatility (ann.)100.7%27.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.981.09
Max drawdown (3Y)-86.6%-33.0%
Market cap$57.0B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryHealth CareETF · Thematic
Smaller drawdown: XBI -33.0% vs -86.6%Higher 5y return: XBI +28.6% vs -61.5%
-6%0%+477%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. MRNA · XBI

Year-by-year returns

YearMRNAXBI
2022-29.3%-25.9%
2023-44.6%+7.6%
2024-58.2%+1.0%
2025-29.1%+35.9%
2026+384.1%+38.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MRNA and XBI good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.42, MRNA and XBI keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MRNA and XBI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between MRNA and XBI is 0.42 over 3 years, 0.36 over 1 year and 0.42 over 5 years.

Is XBI a good diversifier for MRNA?

Reasonably. At 0.42, MRNA and XBI keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.42 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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MRNA vs XBI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.42MRNA vs XBI0.42

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Related comparisons

Hubs: MRNA correlations · XBI correlations