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MCD vs SBUX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, McDonald's (MCD) and Starbucks (SBUX) carry a correlation of 0.29, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.29
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.29
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.36
long-run
Ann. covariance
174.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are MCD and SBUX?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of MCD and SBUX correlate at 0.29, weak. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.29 over 1 year against 0.29 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.36, with an annualized covariance of 174.1 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against MCD, SBUX ranks #20 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months SBUX outperformed by 40.0 percentage points (-14.5% for MCD against +25.5% for SBUX). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.16 and 0.59, a moderate band. One caveat on sizing: SBUX is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

MCD vs SBUX: side by side

MCD (McDonald's)SBUX (Starbucks)
1-year return-14.5%+25.5%
5-year return+23.3%+4.5%
Volatility (ann.)17.8%34.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.301.10
Max drawdown (3Y)-22.8%-32.0%
Market cap$184.0B$122.3B
P/E (trailing)21.762.7
Dividend yield2.75%2.29%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Discretionary
Lower P/E: MCD 21.7 vs 62.7Higher yield: MCD 2.75% vs 2.29%Smaller drawdown: MCD -22.8% vs -32.0%Higher 5y return: MCD +23.3% vs +4.5%
-16%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). MCD · SBUX

Year-by-year returns

YearMCDSBUX
2022+0.5%-13.2%
2023+15.1%-1.2%
2024+0.1%-2.5%
2025+7.9%-5.3%
2026-13.9%+29.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are MCD and SBUX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.29 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between MCD and SBUX?

The MCD/SBUX correlation stands at 0.29 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.29, 5 years: 0.36), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SBUX a good diversifier for MCD?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.29 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.29 mean?

A reading of 0.29 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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MCD vs SBUX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.29MCD vs SBUX0.29

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Hubs: MCD correlations · SBUX correlations