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LCII vs MDY: Correlation

How closely do LCI Industries (LCII) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.63, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.63
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.38
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.67
long-run
Ann. covariance
356.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are LCII and MDY?

Over the past 3 years, LCII and MDY moved with a correlation of 0.63, which is strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.38) than the 3-year average (0.63). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.67, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 356.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, MDY places #4 of the 11 assets tracked against LCII. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MDY outperformed by 18.6 percentage points (-0.3% for LCII against +18.3% for MDY). Note the risk asymmetry: LCII runs 2.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

LCII vs MDY: side by side

LCII (LCI Industries)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return-0.3%+18.3%
5-year return-12.8%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)34.4%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.950.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-41.8%-24.0%
Market cap$2.5B
P/E (trailing)11.9
Dividend yield4.47%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: LCII 4.47% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -41.8%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs -12.8%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-20%0%+50%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. LCII · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearLCIIMDY
2022-38.5%-13.3%
2023+41.1%+16.1%
2024-14.6%+13.6%
2025+22.8%+7.2%
2026-13.1%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are LCII and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.63 means LCII and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between LCII and MDY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between LCII and MDY is 0.63 over 3 years, 0.38 over 1 year and 0.67 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for LCII?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.63 means LCII and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.63 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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LCII vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.63LCII vs MDY0.63

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Hubs: LCII correlations · MDY correlations