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FANG vs TLT: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Diamondback Energy (FANG) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) carry a correlation of -0.27, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.27
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.56
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.25
long-run
Ann. covariance
-123.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are FANG and TLT?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of FANG and TLT correlate at -0.27, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.56) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.27). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.25, with an annualized covariance of -123.3 %².

TLT is close to the least connected end of FANG's tracked universe, ranking #38 of 41. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with FANG ahead by 39.3 points (+39.6% versus +0.3%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.53 and 0.02 on a rolling one-year basis. Note the risk asymmetry: FANG runs 2.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

FANG vs TLT: side by side

FANG (Diamondback Energy)TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+39.6%+0.3%
5-year return+224.9%-34.0%
Volatility (ann.)34.1%13.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.320.11
Max drawdown (3Y)-42.1%-14.8%
Market cap$56.1B
P/E (trailing)38.0
Dividend yield2.13%4.75%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$41.5B
Sector / categoryEnergyETF · Bonds
Higher yield: TLT 4.75% vs 2.13%Smaller drawdown: TLT -14.8% vs -42.1%Higher 5y return: FANG +224.9% vs -34.0%

On the fund side, TLT sits in the Long Government category at iShares, with $41.5B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 4.75% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+56%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. FANG · TLT

Year-by-year returns

YearFANGTLT
2022+35.3%-31.2%
2023+19.7%+2.8%
2024+10.3%-8.1%
2025-5.6%+4.2%
2026+35.7%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are FANG and TLT good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.27, FANG and TLT have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between FANG and TLT?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.27 over 3 years, with -0.56 over the last year and -0.25 over 5 years.

Is TLT a good diversifier for FANG?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.27, FANG and TLT have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.27 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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FANG vs TLT: 3-year weekly correlation -0.27FANG vs TLT-0.27

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Hubs: FANG correlations · TLT correlations