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ERIE vs XLF: Correlation

How closely do Erie Indemnity (ERIE) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.30, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.30
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.30
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.29
long-run
Ann. covariance
145.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ERIE and XLF?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of ERIE and XLF correlate at 0.30, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.30 over 1 year against 0.30 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.29, with an annualized covariance of 145.7 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLF places #21 of the 33 assets tracked against ERIE. The last year tells two different stories: XLF led by 33.8 percentage points, -24.5% for ERIE against +9.3% for XLF. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.04 to 0.35. Risk is not evenly split, since ERIE carries 1.9 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ERIE vs XLF: side by side

ERIE (Erie Indemnity)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-24.5%+9.3%
5-year return+61.3%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)30.3%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.370.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-60.9%-15.5%
Market cap$13.6B
P/E (trailing)23.4
Dividend yield2.24%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: ERIE 2.24% vs 1.42%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -60.9%Higher 5y return: XLF +64.2% vs +61.3%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-35%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ERIE · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearERIEXLF
2022+32.0%-10.6%
2023+37.3%+12.0%
2024+24.7%+30.6%
2025-29.4%+14.9%
2026-8.0%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

ERIE represents 0.08% of XLF's portfolio, so part of any move in XLF is ERIE itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are ERIE and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.30, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ERIE and XLF?

The ERIE/XLF correlation stands at 0.30 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.30, 5 years: 0.29), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLF a good diversifier for ERIE?

A fair diversifier. At 0.30, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.30 mean?

A reading of 0.30 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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ERIE vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.30ERIE vs XLF0.30

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Hubs: ERIE correlations · XLF correlations