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ERIE vs USMV: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Erie Indemnity (ERIE) and iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (USMV) carry a correlation of 0.43, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.43
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.44
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.36
long-run
Ann. covariance
129.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ERIE and USMV?

On 3 years of weekly data the ERIE/USMV correlation comes out at 0.43, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.44 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.36, and annualized covariance runs at 129.7 %².

Within ERIE's tracked universe of 33 assets, USMV comes in at #9 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USMV outperformed by 34.6 percentage points (-24.5% for ERIE against +10.1% for USMV). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.04 to 0.52. One caveat on sizing: ERIE is 3.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ERIE vs USMV: side by side

ERIE (Erie Indemnity)USMV (iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF)
1-year return-24.5%+10.1%
5-year return+61.3%+42.3%
Volatility (ann.)30.3%9.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.370.51
Max drawdown (3Y)-60.9%-9.4%
Market cap$13.6B
P/E (trailing)23.4
Dividend yield2.24%1.48%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$23.6B
Sector / categoryFinancialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: ERIE 2.24% vs 1.48%Smaller drawdown: USMV -9.4% vs -60.9%Higher 5y return: ERIE +61.3% vs +42.3%

USMV, iShares's Large Blend fund, carries $23.6B under management, 164 holdings, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 1.48% trailing dividend yield.

-35%0%+10%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ERIE · USMV

Year-by-year returns

YearERIEUSMV
2022+32.0%-9.4%
2023+37.3%+10.3%
2024+24.7%+15.7%
2025-29.4%+7.6%
2026-8.0%+9.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 0.09% of USMV is ERIE itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are ERIE and USMV good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.43 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ERIE and USMV?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ERIE and USMV is 0.43 over 3 years, 0.44 over 1 year and 0.36 over 5 years.

Is USMV a good diversifier for ERIE?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.43 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.43 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.43 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ERIE vs USMV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.43ERIE vs USMV0.43

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ERIE correlations · USMV correlations