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ACGL vs ERIE: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and Erie Indemnity (ERIE) carry a correlation of 0.44, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.44
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.34
long-run
Ann. covariance
286.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ACGL and ERIE?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of ACGL and ERIE correlate at 0.44, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.43) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.34, with an annualized covariance of 286.2 %².

By 3-year correlation, ERIE places #20 of the 36 assets tracked against ACGL. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ACGL outperformed by 32.2 percentage points (+7.7% for ACGL against -24.5% for ERIE). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.06 and 0.65 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ACGL vs ERIE: side by side

ACGL (Arch Capital Group)ERIE (Erie Indemnity)
1-year return+7.7%-24.5%
5-year return+151.8%+61.3%
Volatility (ann.)21.5%30.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.280.37
Max drawdown (3Y)-22.4%-60.9%
Market cap$33.7B$13.6B
P/E (trailing)7.923.4
Dividend yield0.00%2.24%
Sector / categoryFinancialsFinancials
Lower P/E: ACGL 7.9 vs 23.4Higher yield: ERIE 2.24% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: ACGL -22.4% vs -60.9%Higher 5y return: ACGL +151.8% vs +61.3%
-35%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ACGL · ERIE

Year-by-year returns

YearACGLERIE
2022+41.2%+32.0%
2023+18.3%+37.3%
2024+30.8%+24.7%
2025+3.9%-29.4%
2026+3.0%-8.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ACGL and ERIE good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.44, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ACGL and ERIE?

The ACGL/ERIE correlation stands at 0.44 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.43, 5 years: 0.34), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is ERIE a good diversifier for ACGL?

A fair diversifier. At 0.44, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.44 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.44 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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ACGL vs ERIE: 3-year weekly correlation 0.44ACGL vs ERIE0.44

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Hubs: ACGL correlations · ERIE correlations