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ERIE vs SPY: Correlation

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.18.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.18
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.06
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.21
long-run
Ann. covariance
78.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ERIE and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, ERIE and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.18, which is weak. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.06 versus 0.18 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.21, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 78.1 %².

Within ERIE's tracked universe of 33 assets, SPY comes in at #22 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 45.1 points (-24.5% versus +20.6%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between -0.06 and 0.27 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: ERIE is 2.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ERIE vs SPY: side by side

ERIE (Erie Indemnity)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-24.5%+20.6%
5-year return+61.3%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)30.3%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.371.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-60.9%-18.8%
Market cap$13.6B
P/E (trailing)23.4
Dividend yield2.24%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryFinancialsETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: ERIE 2.24% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -60.9%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +61.3%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-35%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ERIE · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearERIESPY
2022+32.0%-18.2%
2023+37.3%+26.2%
2024+24.7%+24.9%
2025-29.4%+17.7%
2026-8.0%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ERIE and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.18, ERIE and SPY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ERIE and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.18 over 3 years, with 0.06 over the last year and 0.21 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for ERIE?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.18, ERIE and SPY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of 0.18 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.18 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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ERIE vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.18ERIE vs SPY0.18

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Hubs: ERIE correlations · SPY correlations