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ERIE vs PGR: Correlation

How closely do Erie Indemnity (ERIE) and Progressive Corporation (PGR) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.38, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.32
long-run
Ann. covariance
271.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ERIE and PGR?

On 3 years of weekly data the ERIE/PGR correlation comes out at 0.38, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.43 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.32, and annualized covariance runs at 271.1 %².

Within ERIE's tracked universe of 33 assets, PGR comes in at #18 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with PGR ahead by 19.2 points (-24.5% versus -5.3%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between 0.01 and 0.52 on a rolling one-year basis.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ERIE vs PGR: side by side

ERIE (Erie Indemnity)PGR (Progressive Corporation)
1-year return-24.5%-5.3%
5-year return+61.3%+153.0%
Volatility (ann.)30.3%23.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.370.32
Max drawdown (3Y)-60.9%-30.4%
Market cap$13.6B$126.5B
P/E (trailing)23.410.9
Dividend yield2.24%0.18%
Sector / categoryFinancialsFinancials
Lower P/E: PGR 10.9 vs 23.4Higher yield: ERIE 2.24% vs 0.18%Smaller drawdown: PGR -30.4% vs -60.9%Higher 5y return: PGR +153.0% vs +61.3%
-35%0%+2%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ERIE · PGR

Year-by-year returns

YearERIEPGR
2022+32.0%+26.8%
2023+37.3%+23.2%
2024+24.7%+51.4%
2025-29.4%-3.0%
2026-8.0%+1.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ERIE and PGR good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.38, ERIE and PGR keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ERIE and PGR?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.38 over 3 years, with 0.43 over the last year and 0.32 over 5 years.

Is PGR a good diversifier for ERIE?

Reasonably. At 0.38, ERIE and PGR keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.38 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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ERIE vs PGR: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38ERIE vs PGR0.38

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Hubs: ERIE correlations · PGR correlations