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ERIE vs NXTC: Correlation

How closely do Erie Indemnity (ERIE) and NextCure, Inc. (NXTC) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.18, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.18
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.32
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.12
long-run
Ann. covariance
-888.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ERIE and NXTC?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of ERIE and NXTC correlate at -0.18, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.32) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.18). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.12, with an annualized covariance of -888.1 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against ERIE, NXTC ranks #25 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: NXTC led by 39.8 percentage points, -24.5% for ERIE against +15.3% for NXTC. Note the risk asymmetry: NXTC runs 5.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ERIE vs NXTC: side by side

ERIE (Erie Indemnity)NXTC (NextCure, Inc.)
1-year return-24.5%+15.3%
5-year return+61.3%-93.2%
Volatility (ann.)30.3%160.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.371.18
Max drawdown (3Y)-60.9%-94.6%
Market cap$13.6B
P/E (trailing)23.4
Dividend yield2.24%0.00%
Sector / categoryFinancialsUS Listed
Higher yield: ERIE 2.24% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: ERIE -60.9% vs -94.6%Higher 5y return: ERIE +61.3% vs -93.2%
-66%0%+190%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ERIE · NXTC

Year-by-year returns

YearERIENXTC
2022+32.0%-76.5%
2023+37.3%-19.1%
2024+24.7%-32.4%
2025-29.4%+53.4%
2026-8.0%-57.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ERIE and NXTC good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.18, ERIE and NXTC have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ERIE and NXTC?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.18 over 3 years, with -0.32 over the last year and -0.12 over 5 years.

Is NXTC a good diversifier for ERIE?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.18, ERIE and NXTC have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.18 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.18 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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ERIE vs NXTC: 3-year weekly correlation -0.18ERIE vs NXTC-0.18

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Hubs: ERIE correlations · NXTC correlations