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BND vs SHY: Correlation

How closely do Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) and iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.85, which is very strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.85
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.85
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.81
long-run
Ann. covariance
6.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BND and SHY?

On 3 years of weekly data the BND/SHY correlation comes out at 0.85, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.85) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.81, and annualized covariance runs at 6.9 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against BND, SHY ranks #6 by 3-year correlation. Their 12-month results are close: +2.3% for BND against +2.5% for SHY. Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.74 through 0.92. Note the risk asymmetry: BND runs 3.2 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BND vs SHY: side by side

BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF)SHY (iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+2.3%+2.5%
5-year return-1.3%+9.6%
Volatility (ann.)5.2%1.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.060.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-4.7%-1.0%
Dividend yield3.65%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$25.1B
Sector / categoryETF · BondsETF · Bonds
Smaller drawdown: SHY -1.0% vs -4.7%Higher 5y return: SHY +9.6% vs -1.3%

SHY, iShares's Short Government fund, carries $25.1B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 3.65% trailing dividend yield.

0%0%+3%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. BND · SHY

Year-by-year returns

YearBNDSHY
2022-13.1%-3.9%
2023+5.7%+4.2%
2024+1.4%+3.9%
2025+7.1%+5.0%
2026+0.2%+1.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BND and SHY good diversifiers for each other?

No. With a correlation of 0.85, BND and SHY move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BND and SHY?

The BND/SHY correlation stands at 0.85 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.85, 5 years: 0.81), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SHY a good diversifier for BND?

No. With a correlation of 0.85, BND and SHY move nearly in lockstep, so holding both adds very little diversification.

What does a correlation of 0.85 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.85 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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BND vs SHY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.85BND vs SHY0.85

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Hubs: BND correlations · SHY correlations