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BND vs OBE: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) and Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) carry a correlation of -0.24, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.24
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.38
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.19
long-run
Ann. covariance
-62.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BND and OBE?

Over the past 3 years, BND and OBE moved with a correlation of -0.24, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.38) than the 3-year average (-0.24). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.19, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -62.9 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against BND, OBE ranks #23 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months OBE outperformed by 91.0 percentage points (+2.3% for BND against +93.3% for OBE). One caveat on sizing: OBE is 9.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BND vs OBE: side by side

BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF)OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.)
1-year return+2.3%+93.3%
5-year return-1.3%+339.0%
Volatility (ann.)5.2%50.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.060.38
Max drawdown (3Y)-4.7%-56.4%
Market cap$0.8B
P/E (trailing)36.9
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryETF · BondsUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: BND -4.7% vs -56.4%Higher 5y return: OBE +339.0% vs -1.3%
-4%0%+143%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. BND · OBE

Year-by-year returns

YearBNDOBE
2022-13.1%+61.2%
2023+5.7%+2.1%
2024+1.4%-14.6%
2025+7.1%+5.9%
2026+0.2%+92.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BND and OBE good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.24, BND and OBE have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BND and OBE?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.24 over 3 years, with -0.38 over the last year and -0.19 over 5 years.

Is OBE a good diversifier for BND?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.24, BND and OBE have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.24 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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BND vs OBE: 3-year weekly correlation -0.24BND vs OBE-0.24

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Related comparisons

Hubs: BND correlations · OBE correlations