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BND vs NVG: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) and Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Credit Income Fund (NVG) carry a correlation of 0.69, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.69
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
46.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BND and NVG?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of BND and NVG correlate at 0.69, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.61 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.62, with an annualized covariance of 46.8 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against BND, NVG ranks #14 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months NVG came out ahead by 10.1 percentage points (+2.3% against +12.4%). Note the risk asymmetry: NVG runs 2.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BND vs NVG: side by side

BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF)NVG (Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Credit Income Fund)
1-year return+2.3%+12.4%
5-year return-1.3%-7.8%
Volatility (ann.)5.2%13.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.060.32
Max drawdown (3Y)-4.7%-12.9%
Market cap$2.7B
P/E (trailing)13.8
Dividend yield7.75%
Sector / categoryETF · BondsUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: BND -4.7% vs -12.9%Higher 5y return: BND -1.3% vs -7.8%
0%0%+16%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). BND · NVG

Year-by-year returns

YearBNDNVG
2022-13.1%-28.5%
2023+5.7%+2.0%
2024+1.4%+10.8%
2025+7.1%+11.6%
2026+0.2%+1.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BND and NVG good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.69 means BND and NVG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BND and NVG?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.69 over 3 years, with 0.61 over the last year and 0.62 over 5 years.

Is NVG a good diversifier for BND?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.69 means BND and NVG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.69 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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BND vs NVG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.69BND vs NVG0.69

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Hubs: BND correlations · NVG correlations