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AYA vs CGAU: Correlation

How closely do Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) and Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.72, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.72
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.81
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
2419.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AYA and CGAU?

On 3 years of weekly data the AYA/CGAU correlation comes out at 0.72, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.81) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.59, and annualized covariance runs at 2419.7 %².

By 3-year correlation, CGAU places #4 of the 14 assets tracked against AYA. Their 12-month results are close: +212.6% for AYA against +213.4% for CGAU. Note the risk asymmetry: AYA runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AYA vs CGAU: side by side

AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.)CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)
1-year return+212.6%+213.4%
5-year return+267.0%+269.1%
Volatility (ann.)73.7%45.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.951.13
Max drawdown (3Y)-56.1%-29.5%
Market cap$4.2B$4.7B
P/E (trailing)36.27.6
Dividend yield0.00%0.84%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: CGAU 7.6 vs 36.2Higher yield: CGAU 0.84% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: CGAU -29.5% vs -56.1%Higher 5y return: CGAU +269.1% vs +267.0%
-12%0%+183%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). AYA · CGAU

Year-by-year returns

YearAYACGAU
2022-11.0%-30.2%
2023+10.4%+19.4%
2024+2.0%-1.4%
2025+92.4%+156.7%
2026+103.8%+70.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AYA and CGAU good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.72 means AYA and CGAU share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AYA and CGAU?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.72 over 3 years, with 0.81 over the last year and 0.59 over 5 years.

Is CGAU a good diversifier for AYA?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.72 means AYA and CGAU share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.72 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.72 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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AYA vs CGAU: 3-year weekly correlation 0.72AYA vs CGAU0.72

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AYA correlations · CGAU correlations