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AYA vs GDX: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) and VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) carry a correlation of 0.74, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.74
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.80
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.70
long-run
Ann. covariance
2238.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AYA and GDX?

Over the past 3 years, AYA and GDX moved with a correlation of 0.74, which is strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.80 over 1 year against 0.74 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.70, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 2238.7 %².

Few assets follow AYA as closely as GDX, which ranks #2 of 14 tracked partners. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months AYA outperformed by 142.7 percentage points (+212.6% for AYA against +69.9% for GDX). Note the risk asymmetry: AYA runs 1.8 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AYA vs GDX: side by side

AYA (Aya Gold & Silver Inc.)GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF)
1-year return+212.6%+69.9%
5-year return+267.0%+245.5%
Volatility (ann.)73.7%40.9%
Beta vs S&P 5001.950.88
Max drawdown (3Y)-56.1%-38.9%
Market cap$4.2B
P/E (trailing)36.2
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: GDX -38.9% vs -56.1%Higher 5y return: AYA +267.0% vs +245.5%
-12%0%+172%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. AYA · GDX

Year-by-year returns

YearAYAGDX
2022-11.0%-9.0%
2023+10.4%+10.0%
2024+2.0%+10.6%
2025+92.4%+154.8%
2026+103.8%+20.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AYA and GDX good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.74 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AYA and GDX?

The AYA/GDX correlation stands at 0.74 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.80, 5 years: 0.70), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is GDX a good diversifier for AYA?

To a limited degree. At 0.74 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.74 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.74 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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AYA vs GDX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.74AYA vs GDX0.74

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AYA correlations · GDX correlations