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CGAU vs GDX: Correlation

How closely do Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.88, which is very strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.88
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.95
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.81
long-run
Ann. covariance
1640.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CGAU and GDX?

On 3 years of weekly data the CGAU/GDX correlation comes out at 0.88, very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.95) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.81, and annualized covariance runs at 1640.6 %².

In CGAU's tracked universe of 20 assets, GDX sits right near the top at #1. The last year tells two different stories: CGAU led by 143.5 percentage points, +213.4% for CGAU against +69.9% for GDX.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CGAU vs GDX: side by side

CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF)
1-year return+213.4%+69.9%
5-year return+269.1%+245.5%
Volatility (ann.)45.7%40.9%
Beta vs S&P 5001.130.88
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.5%-38.9%
Market cap$4.7B
P/E (trailing)7.6
Dividend yield0.84%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: CGAU -29.5% vs -38.9%Higher 5y return: CGAU +269.1% vs +245.5%
0%+183%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. CGAU · GDX

Year-by-year returns

YearCGAUGDX
2022-30.2%-9.0%
2023+19.4%+10.0%
2024-1.4%+10.6%
2025+156.7%+154.8%
2026+70.1%+20.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CGAU and GDX good diversifiers for each other?

Not really. At 0.88, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CGAU and GDX?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CGAU and GDX is 0.88 over 3 years, 0.95 over 1 year and 0.81 over 5 years.

Is GDX a good diversifier for CGAU?

Not really. At 0.88, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

What does a correlation of 0.88 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.88 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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CGAU vs GDX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.88CGAU vs GDX0.88

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CGAU correlations · GDX correlations